Sunday 31 October 2010

Ready for tomorrow?

Traditionally, when I have had a positive prior week, especially when I finished trading for a week on a Thursday, the first day’s trading of the following week turns out to be a disaster. And that’s tomorrow.

So this is me getting it down on my blog to get any anxiety out of my system so that tomorrow can be a normal day of trading – if there is such a thing for me.

I staying on my £1 per pip trades and of course will only be trading tomorrow if all criteria is present. Else, no trade! Funny how it is always so simple to say this, but when you sit down to trade, it’s so easy to forget everything.

Consistency is everything, and I will be getting there soon.

Another new week begins...............

Friday 29 October 2010

Consistency

I was thinking about this weeks trading and it is obvious that I only had one day, if that, of good trading. And that was yesterday. I mentioned in by first post that I would be doubling my pip value every week if I hit my goals. The current pip value is £1 and considering that I have not maintained consistent trading for even one week where I have been following the rules and feeling good about each trade, I will be leaving the pip value unchanged at £1 per pip for another week. So I'm in the big money at the moment!

Oh, and if you were wondering, I did not trade today and of course will not be trading for the rest of the day.

See you on Monday.

Thursday 28 October 2010

a better day and a good end to the week

If behavioural patterns are anything to go by, last Thursday was a good day and so was today. One buy trade and I finished for the day on +2 pips.


Started my session today quite early at 7.38am and finished at 8.04am, it would be great if trading everyday took as long as this. I was 95% there with the criteria as well. It wasn’t the perfect trade – it did go positive straight away to clear the spread, but then stalled, and reversed to go negative by -2 pips at one point. But I would like to think that I was ready to get out if it got any worse. Due to bad habits, I’m not 100% sure if I would have got out as quickly as I should when a trade is going wrong, but I’m sure I would not have let the dreaded stop loss do it for me though. The Swissy (USD/CHF) and the Euro (EUR/USD), were pushing down and up respectively with reasonable momentum. So I was quite confident that the Cable (GBP/USD) would continue up to allow me to grab 1 or 2 pips – and it did! Also, I was in this trade for around 30 seconds, perhaps 40 at the most – not as quick as I would like it to be, but far better than my prior trades this week.

I think today was a step in the right direction - I’m slowly getting there in following the rules and criteria needed for the perfect trade.

With lots of luck behind me earlier this week that allowed those very risky trades to produce positive pips and the decent enough results of today, takes me to +10 pips for the week. Only needing +2 pips on average per day, I am therefore done for this week and don’t have to trade tomorrow – there, I have said it, so no temptation for me to go ahead and trade tomorrow anyway.

I’ll be back on Monday – enjoy the weekend!

Wednesday 27 October 2010

Another day of CRAP

There was a crazy movement upwards on the GBP/USD yesterday on the 9am candle – after I had already finished for the day of course! The GDP figures announced at 9.30am were better than expected and the 9am candle had an upward movement of 110 pips!! I wonder how many enjoyed this candle for a profit.


9am Candle after GDP figures announcement yesterday

Later start today and there didn’t seem to be much movement during set up. I settled down to watch at 9.40am and finished trading at 10.07am. How do I feel today? Better than yesterday, but only marginally. The good news is that I finished today after one trade again for +2 pips. But, the big But, there was still luck involved in this trade – I was down -4 pips at one point and I was still in the trade – no surprises there huh? The trade also lasted 3 minutes from 10.04 – 10.07am before I exited for +2 pips. The question I ask myself now is, if that trade had continued in the negative direction, when would I have come out? Not -4, I was there already at one point. -5? -6? My stop loss to have taken me out? Based on past experience, I think the stop loss would have done the job! This is no bloody good! Was this trade better than the two earlier this week? I think not! In fact, the title of today’s post was “Small improvement” – I just changed it.

My trade today
Onwards and upwards – no pun intended – Let’s see what tomorrow brings.

Tuesday 26 October 2010

Early start

Good morning to you.

An early morning start for me today. It took a while to clear the cob webs but got there in the end and sat down to trade at 7.21am. And was finished for the day at 7.32am!!

However..............

Similar to yesterday morning, there was a relatively large positive GBP/USD candle in play already which seemed like it was continuing the upward trend. I finished my set up and started watching. I was in fact mistaken, the movement was up and down between a 2 pip range, with correlation, around the 1.5768 mark. After a few minutes of watching the GBP/USD bounce back and forth, it suddenly began to move upwards, jerkily at first and then with some momentum. I jumped into a buy trade at 1.5787. The trade broke even almost instantly, but then stalled, went negative by -8 pips before coming back and going positive to 1.5790, at which point I exited for +3 pips. The trade was in play for a couple of minutes, as with yesterdays trade which was 8 minutes, this is still too long for this type of trade.


All in all, another lucky day. I am meant to get out of a trade when in doubt and acceptable losses are in the range of -2 to -4 pips. This trade was down -8 pips at one point and I was still in the trade. As with yesterdays trade, where the trade could have taken a further turn for the worse, the same could have happened today and as I was still in the trade at -8 pips at one point, this may have been another case of my stop loss kicking in at -20 pips instead of the lucky +3 pips that I finished with today.

I keep saying to myself at the end of each days trading, that tomorrow will be a better day, the rules will be followed and if there’s a trade for me, within the rules, I will get it. But this week, after two days of trading – I have just been lucky!

Monday 25 October 2010

Sunny Monday

Good morning to you all! Has your weekend been as good as mine?


Well, I’m not going to dilly dally, let me take you straight into today’s events on the Forex market. To start with, if you were thinking you were going to read more of the same from Friday, the news is actually, somewhat better – but only in terms of the positive result. I finished this morning sessions positive at +3 pips.

But this was another case of luck as opposed to skill.

I logged in this morning and whilst I was setting up the charts, it was apparent that there was a large red candle on the GPB/USD and it appeared as though it was continuing down. You will be happy to know that I remained composed, and finished my set up before settling down to trade. I officially started my session at 8.40am. I watched from this point until 8.54am which was when I entered into a buy trade. Let me try and explain why. What I noticed during the period I was watching is that the GBP/USD was reluctant to move down with the same momentum that the EUR/USD had when moving down and USD/CHF had when moving up. In fact the GPB/USD seemed to edge up more than down. So, to me, I was convinced that the GBP/USD had done its downward stint and was now ready to move back up. And, the GBP/USD seemed to move up and down between a range of around 4 to 5 pips. I watched the GBP/USD on its next move down and as soon as it stalled and minutely nudged upwards, I entered the buy trade. The trade didn’t go positive straight away, it was negative by 1 or 2 pips for while, went positive momentarily by 1 pip and at one point it was down -4 pips. But after 8 minutes, the trade eventually went positive and I exited for a +3 pip trade.

Now, as far as the taught criteria was concerned, I should not have entered into this trade – though correlation between the currencies was present, there was no momentum, the trade didn’t go positive straight away and if the GBP/USD turned down with momentum, this would have been a negative trade by the time I exited or a bigger negative than I was at during some of the stages of the open trade. So a risky trade today.

Overall during my 22 minute trading session today, I’m thankful that I finished positive for the day. But am I where I need to be as far as being a successful trader is concerned? Far from it.

Enjoy the rest of the day, who knows, I might pop back in here to say hello. Also, I will put this down in the blog now, so that any temptation to trade again today is suppressed – I will not be trading again until tomorrow morning!

Friday 22 October 2010

Just when you thought it was all over

I couldn’t resist, temptation has taken over today. I have been trading for the last hour and survived on luck and luck alone.

My first trade, a buy for -1 pip. The second trade, a sell for +3 pips. The third trade, a buy for, -11 pips. The fourth trade, a buy for +10 pips – pure luck. The fifth, a sell for +1 pip. The sixth, a sell for +2 pips. And lastly a sell for +3 pips.

Who knows what’s going on in my mind today? The afternoons trading has given me some satisfaction in feeling better, but by doing so I have just practiced more wrong. This is cheating and a waste of time – I know. As our parents used to say, cheating myself!

I thought by keeping this blog I will improve my trading skills, but there has been no sign of improvement yet.

I wonder sometimes if trading Forex is something I will be able to master. Or am I just going down a road where there’s no coming back from? I can beat myself up about this type of trading all day long, but will I ever learn? I am blowing up inside, and I am tired of feeling like this. I have had one too many days such as today. I need this to turn around for me, but will it?

Enjoy the weekend!

...a great way to end the week!

Afternoon folks.

Bad news today I’m afraid.


Everything started well. I didn’t rush into anything and watched the market patiently for 30 minutes before entering my first trade which yielded -5 pips. What happened you ask? Well, I can only put it down to the sheer boredom and I got so excited at the first sign of some movement, I jumped in, instead of watching for confirmation of the criteria I needed before entering the trade. So I suffered the consequences and end up with my first trade being a negative, a big negative at that.

It doesn’t end there. The need to recover this loss was so great, I jumped in again shortly after, but this time somewhat more controlled in limiting my losses to exit a sell trade for -2 pips. Thats not so bad you say – read on, I might change your mind.

5 minutes later, I’m in and out of another sell trade for 0 pips – that felt better, rules followed nothing gained, nothing lost.

This should now be me done for the day, one of the rules, no more than 3 trades per day.

But no........1 minute after the last trade, the rules that I need to follow are out of the window completely, I went into gambling mode. You will cringe now – its 9.57am, 3 minutes away from the start of the 10am candle – I ask myself (this is the gambler now, if you haven’t noticed), which way will the candle move from 10am, up or down? I settle for down and enter a sell trade. Now at this point, there’s no criteria present for entering a trade, this is me being a complete and utter d**k – 10am comes around, the candle flutters, and then moves up a couple of pips, then up a further few pips and before I know it, I’m still in the trade and now 10 pips down. But guess what? The trade is definitely going to come back right? Wrong! I’m now 15 pips down – still in the trade though, its gonna come back, its gonna come back – nope, -20 pips down now and a couple of pips away from my stop loss kicking in. But what could be better now than moving the stop loss further away cos this trade is definitely gonna come back, I move the stop loss further away. Thankfully (stop rolling around the floor laughing), I decide with the great wisdom that I have, to exit the trade and solidify the loss at -21 pips.

All hope is lost – I am now gambling, it as simple as that. I enter & exit another trade, a buy trade for -7 pips. I was in the trade for too long, there was no criteria when I entered the trade, nothing!

Now, you must be thinking, this must be the end, I must have shut down for the day after that last trade. Well, of course you thought wrong. I did worse. I decide, tapping into that great wisdom of mine, that I can reverse all my losses today by simply increasing my pip value from £1 to £42 per pip and executing a +1 pip trade – clever eh? I certainly thought so – I am a gambler, am I not? So thats exactly what I do, pip value increased to £42. But, I am now quite scared that I could end up with another big negative and instead of being down £35 in total at this point, any negative trade from now on, will result in multiples of £42 per pip down. But hey, I know what I’m doing, I see some movement for a buy trade and jump in, it goes positive straight away by 3 pips (remember, this is now £42 per pip) and I click on the close trade button – but I was too late, the trade had reversed but thankfully, I’m out for 0 pips.

Theres now no doubt, I must have closed down the platform right? No, let stay a while longer I say – I can still get a +1 pip trade today – it will happen I say. The good news is that I watched for a further 25 minutes and decided to call it a day without entering any further trades – the platform is finally closed.

-35 pips for the day, not bad trading at all! Maybe I will have another good day like this on Monday! Perhaps I could top the number of rules I broke today?

Is there any hope for me at all?

Have a great weekend guys!

Thursday 21 October 2010

This is what I want every day

Morning to you. Hope your morning has been as good as mine so far. Here are my results for today;

Trade 1. I started today at just before 9am, whilst I was setting up my charts, I could see the GPB/USD candle which started at 1.5741, had already moved around 15 pips up steadily by the time I was ready to trade. I was determined today to only trade if I felt confident with a move and none of this lucky business – which I know from past experience, always ends very badly for me. With this in mind, I watched the candle continue to move up from 1.5756 in small 2 and 3 pip jumps and correlation between the GPB/USD, EUR/USD and USD/CHF was good. So, I got ready to enter into a buy trade. The GPB/USD continued up, when I felt it was time, in I got at 1.5787 and a couple of seconds later, out at 1.5790. +3 pips from my one and only trade today. So finished my work for today in less than 15 minutes – what a feeling.

More of this type of trading on a regular basis and I’m on my way to that place I have been dreaming off. See you tomorrow.

Wednesday 20 October 2010

The Beginning

I was meaning to start this when I actually started my training in Forex a few months ago, but as I am still in training today, here I go - better late than never. I started trading live not so long ago, but have classed myself as still being in training for now.

I am hopeful that this story will have a happy ending in me earning the financial freedom I have been seeking for several years, but its early days and I have some valuable lessons to master first - patience, controlling emotions and following simple rules!

I am currently trading at £1 per pip, and will be looking to double this figure every week – but only as long as I finish each week on positive pips, feel confident that I am being consistent in my trading and can follow simple rules.

This will allow my pip value to automatically increase to a level whereby all I have to do then, is achieve on average, a couple of pips a day and I'm set - sounds easy right? Well......we'll just have to see how easy I make it.

Let me start with today’s trading results;

Trade 1 was a buy trade, in at 1.5722 and my stop loss took me out at 1.5699. So a great 1st trade, today at -23 pips. Didn’t follow any of the rules at all!

Trade 2 was another buy trade, in at 1.5700 and exited at 1.5694, another superb trade, -6 pips.

Trade 3, buy trade, in at 1.5695 and exited at 1.5726. +31 pips. I should be happy right? Back to break even, a clean slate………I think relieved and lucky better describe how I feel after this trade. This is another example of a trade executed outside of all the rules I should be following.

Trade 4, a further buy trade, in at 1.5748 and exited at 1.5750 for +2 pips. I am happy to say that this trade was executed within the rules.

I closed down the platform after the 4th trade saying to myself, that last trade or nothing at all is exactly what I am after day in day out.

Here’s to tomorrow.